Football (Soccer) Betting Strategy - Discover Winning by Betting on The Lower Leagues

Most punters like to wager on top flight football especially the English Premier League (EPL). Millions of dollars are wagered on every match.

Why is there the tendency to focus on elite football?

Because the punters believe they have better knowledge and thus greater confidence. They like the winning consistency of the big clubs. However, the odds for such consistent winners are often low and without value.

It can pay dividends to concentrate on the lower leagues. Let me share with you an interesting incident. On 21st Feb. 2009, there was a match between English non-league side Weymouth and Rushden & Diamonds. Weymouth was trashed 9-0. But Weymouth fans laughed all the way to the bank. The bookmakers paid out more than one million English Pounds in one of the biggest betting coups in non-league history.

What went wrong for the bookmakers?

In the lower leagues, the punters have an edge if they are able to obtain the latest team news faster than the bookmakers. In this incident, Weymouth fans found out "before the bookmakers" that Weymouth's first team, which had not been paid at all this year because of the club's debts, went on strike after discovering that there was no medical insurance for the game. The club had no choice but to field its inexperienced youth team. In this match, the bookmakers were caught with their pants down.

Those punters who are prepared to spend the same amount of time applying the same research criteria in the lower divisions can profit immensely. The following four reasons will convince you :

1) Smaller Squad

Most lower division teams do not have huge squads and cannot replace their star players easily with players of the same quality. Injury or suspension of certain key players can upset the performance of the whole team.

2) No Powerhouses

Unlike the elite league like EPL, for the lower divisions, there are no powerhouses who dominate the league for multiple seasons. There are no so-called Big Four. This gives the lower leagues a more level playing field and creates more opportunities for value betting.

3) Better Odds

Manchester United is the reigning EPL champion and the odds for any of its Home games are hardly worth making a bet. However, the equivalent leading league favourite in a lower division could get as much as three times the odds with an almost equal probability chance of winning. During the season, lots of such instances will crop up which the punters can capitalise on.

4) Same Punting Options

With the growth of online betting, lower division football now has the same type of markets and punting options as the top tier football. However, the bookmakers tend to dedicate most of their time on the top flight leagues. For the lower divisions, there is a tendency for them to make more mistakes when setting the prices. There is value to be spotted.

Conclusion

Betting on the lower leagues is an area waiting to be exploited. If the punter is diligent in doing his homework, it is not difficult to acquire a betting edge. The above incident is a classic example. So, it all depends on :

* How knowledgeable you are OR

* How misinformed the bookmakers/public opinions are

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Which Teams Should You Back to Win English Premier League 2008-09 - Winning on Football Betting

English premiership is by far the most exciting and the popular of the football game and in the betting world. The new season will kick off in Aug'08 and will be ended in May'09. It last for a long haul of 9 months.

This event is dominating by the giant big 4 teams. These four teams are: Man u, Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal. Watching closely, you would know how much money has already pumped into and more talented players are transferred into these four teams. In fact they have built up a very successful system over the years. So it is very hard to beat them should you consider placing your bet on football "winning the tournament" market

In the exceptional year 1995, where Blackburn made a stunning upset and won the Premier League. Other than that, the big 4 have led the premiership and no one has even come closer. Here look at the statistic from the last 3 seasons to assist you in your football betting. Betting in football has it unexpected moment that make the game so exciting and beautiful.

2005/6 Chelsea - 91 points, Man 83 points, Liverpool 82 points, Arsenal 67points
2006/2007 Manu U 89 points, Chelsea 83points, Liverpool 68 points, Arsenal 68 points
2007/2008 Maun U 87 points, Chelsea 85, Arsenal83, Liverpool 76 points.

Of course, a club need good players to play a good manager to work out the strategies, and a good management to guide them to reach to the height. It takes years to build a successful system. Fans and sponsorships are important factors too. In addition, there are plenty of millionaires and sponsors who are willing to invest their money to build up their winning system and the team.

However, money alone cannot help to build a successful team. In fact, if you look at the premiership, it is made up of 20 different teams but some of the team is simply unable to meet the tough challenge they are there just imply focus on survival. Many of us should remember that a strong favourite team such as Tottenham a year ago, was consider a hot favourite and it was heavily backed to be the best of the rest, however, is unable to finish in the top half of the premier ship.

In conclusion, it is wiser to back the instead of lay the big four teams to win the tournament. Or you could consider enter into this market later part of the season as most of the bookmakers are offering betting in running on this market.

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