Showing posts with label Simple. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Simple. Show all posts

Monday, September 6, 2010

Fantasy Football (Soccer) 09-10 - A Simple Strategy

It's that time of year again. The British summer is drawing to a close and the majority of Premier League teams have spent their budget for the season and most transfer business is over (well, with the exception of Man City!). Now is the time to put together the fantasy football team, and with the following strategy in, thoroughly thrash your mates and work colleagues.

1. Learnings from last season
2. Goalkeeper and defenders
3. The 'must haves'
4. The bargains
5. Taking risks
6. Transfers

Learnings from last season

In terms of top scoring players, last season threw up few surprises. Ronaldo, Gerrard, Lampard and Vidic all scored well. The big surprise last season though was the emergence of Dirk Kuyt. The Liverpool striker was always admired for his work rate but all too often posed no real goal threat. However, last season he found a new lease of life, reinvented by Rafa Benitez on the right side of Liverpool's three pronged attack that saw Steven Gerrard operating as a 2nd striker. In this role, Kuyt became a consistent provider of assists as well as scoring some important goal, accumulating 177 points along the way. This is a fantastic return for a striker who only cost £5.9m.

The other surprise star of last season came in the form of Man City's free scoring midfielder Steven Ireland. There is a certain irony that the richest club in the world's player of the season was a player who came up through the youth system and had mostly been playing second fiddle to Michael Johnson the year before. Steven Ireland contributed 131 points for a mere £3.4m.

From this it would seem that the big learning from last season is to look to the midfield for the most points for your pound. Strikers converted to wingers playing in a 4-3-3 formation are a must.

Goalkeepers and defenders

The performance of goalkeepers and defenders more than any other position in Fantasy Football is dictated by the team they play for rather than their own ability. Players such as Matthew Upson and Jonathan Woodgate are good defenders in their own right but if the team they play for leaks goals, they will get you many points.

You shouldn't over spend in these areas as goalkeepers and defenders' main source of points is from clean sheets and therefore can only get you so many points. Where possible, go for attack minded full back who can get you a few assists through the season.

Fantasy Football Info recommends: Johnson (Liverpool. £4.0m)

The 'must haves'

Until this summer, there was only one name in this section. But with Ronaldo's departure to La Liga, the title of 'must have' player is up for grabs. For me, it boils down to one of two players - the consistent goal threat of Chelsea's Frank Lampard or the pure inspiration of Liverpool's Steven Gerrard. Both players play every game when they are fit, bother score bags of goals, take free kicks and corners, are the teams' preferred penalty taker.

Last season, Lampard shaved it with 243 points to Gerrard's 202 although Gerrard was injured for parts of the season.

Fantasy Football Info recommends: Gerrard (Liverpool. £6.5m)

The Bargains

The true key to a winning Fantasy Football team is picking up the bargain players. The ability to predict who from the newly promoted clubs will do well and which squad players from the rest of the Premier League will hold down a first team place. Choose your bargains wisely. Had you predicted the injury plagued season of Ricardo Carvalho and selected Alex, this foresight would have gained you 127 points for a player worth just £3.8m.

Fantasy Football Info recommends: Valencia (Man Utd. £3.5m)

Taking Risks

As with picking out the bargain players for the season, it is also worth looking at taking a calculated risk on some of the lesser teams and the newly promoted teams. In most Premier League seasons there is always on surprise team who over achieve - Fulham last Season, Reading in their first season. If you can predict which of these teams will be the surprise, you can pick yourself up some try bargain players.

Fantasy Football Info recommends: Ebanks-Blake (Wolves. £4.9m)

Transfers

The 30 transfer the Daily Telegraph give to each manager can decide how you fair. Use too many, too soon and you risk being left with half a team when the injuries and suspensions start to mount up at the end of the season. Soldier stubbornly on with your original team despite some unexpected poor performers and you'll be a hundred points off the pace before you know it. The best advice I can give for making transfers is don't panic! Give the season some time to unfold, don't jump in and change your strikers just because they haven't score in the first week. Give it three or four games and see how the land lies.

Make sure you also keep an eye on upcoming fixtures. If one of your defenders next four games is Man Utd, Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal then it may be worth taking in him out until after that particular run of games is over.

Injuries also play a key role in the transfer strategy of most Fantasy Football Managers. The important thing with injuries is to monitor the anticipated return date of your injured player. If one of your star players is out for more than 2 weeks, make the change. If it's one of your cheaper bargain players out for a couple of weeks it's not worth wasting a transfer. In general, any player out of action for 3 weeks or more needs to be replaced.

Making transfers at the right time is an art form. Good luck - see you at the top of the league!

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Thursday, July 22, 2010

Simple Secret of Football Betting

The Football Betting World

The sports football which is better known as soccer in America is one of the most popular sports in the world. Covering from South America, Africa, Asia to Europe, football is a game loved by everyone ranging from kids to adults. The game brings huge and deep influence to a person's life. It makes the fans become silly and crazy especially in World Cup tournament.

The popularity of football had created various commercial values. Among of them, football betting is one of the most prosperous industrial seeded from the football game. Winning a bet is not easy at all. Since the very beginning, bookies are always the ultimate winners. However, some minority punters were able to shine in their football betting career. The secrets behind them are self-control in first place and a simple team performance analysis method.

The Secrets

In order to reign a football betting, punters must self-control. Punters must not be addicted towards betting whenever they lose several matches they bet. Bet only on matches that meet your analyzed criteria. Each and every punter will has his match analysis methods and will evolved from time to time. The final decision will always be influenced by latest news, odds movement and comments from others. In fact, there are no proven formula that will really works. A working formula means it will never change and can be applied to all matches as generic guidelines. Nothing will be able to turn the decision table around when this formula is applied.

One of the most effective but simple formula to win in football betting is team performance analysis method. Firstly, punters will need to focus on top teams in every domestic league. For example Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Inter Milan, AC Milan, Real Madrid, Barcelona, Lyon and Bordeaux. Those teams are most probably rank on top at the end of each season. It means to say, betting on highly rank teams surely increases your winning chances. Base on statistics over the last 5 years, the top teams shall continue to win and clear handicap when they are on form or during bounce back. In contrast, the top teams shall keep losing when they are in a losing streaks. Base on this, punter is advised to put his bet only when the top teams on form or when they would just bounce back on track. The biggest mistake in football betting is chasing a team in streak loses to bounce back.

In retrospect, try to avoid match between giants. Bet only when your favorable top teams are playing against smaller teams. The secret of winning is just as simple as it is. You can beat the bookies right now if you can do all above.

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